Playoffs???? Oh, that’s right. The playoffs are happening. But don’t worry, fellow fantasy junkies. We’ve got you covered. Last week, Clave gave an early look at his Top-10 fantasy catchers. This week, I’ll take a stab at first base.
It’s very early and a lot can change this offseason. Feel free to voice your disagreements, or to tell me that you think I’m wonderful, at the bottom.
- Paul Goldschmidt Has shown improvement every year, and was pretty good to begin with. He’d need to get a little more selective to compete for a batting title, but I wouldn’t be blown away if Goldy won a Triple Crown at some point in his career.
- Chris Davis Don’t make the mistake of dismissing Crush as a fluke. Goldschmidt’s a better hitter, so Davis likely needs another HR gap of 10-15 to be ahead of him. But if he stays healthy, Davis can struggle in 2014 and still hit 40 dingers. We profile him here.
- Joey Votto The Cincy first baseman gets on base an awful lot. In that lineup, that translates to 100 or more runs. He’s also a fantastic hitter, so a .300 average is a worst-case scenario. He doesn’t have the power to jump the top two guys, but isn’t bad by any means.
- Freddie Freeman Remember, he’s just turned 24. Freeman has always been a high OBP and RBI guy. In 2013, he added 60 points to his batting average, without dropping any homers. The power generally comes in the mid-late 20’s, so don’t be surprised if he has a big jump in that category this year. We profile him here.
- Edwin Encarnacion Don’t kid yourself into thinking you’re getting a .300 hitter here, you’re not. Still, I don’t see him dropping below .265. That, with 35-45 bombs, is pretty potent from the first base spot.
- Prince Fielder Not quite the power juggernaut that averaged 38 homers from 2006-2011 in Milwaukee. Still, Fielder will play every day, and I expect a power resurgence in 2014. He’s just too powerful to not get to 30.
- Adrian Gonzalez He’s lost a lot with power, but you can count on 20-25 homers, 95-105 RBI, and a .290-.300 average. There are better first basemen, but you could do much, much worse. We profile him here.
- Eric Hosmer If you’re looking for a guy who finished 2013 in a big way, look no further. He’s a young version of Adrian Gonzalez, with more power potential. Not quite as reliable, so he falls in a spot behind him, but the better upside belongs to Hosmer. We compare him to Belt.
- Allen Craig Quite simply, an RBI machine. In the St. Louis lineup, that is sustainable. Craig has never played more than 134 games in a season, and that is a concern. Also, he’s not a big longball guy. But very solid in RBI and average.
- Brandon Belt Not unlike Hosmer, Belt’s had consistency issues, but finished 2013 on a high note. He’s consistently struggled keeping it together for a full year, but this is a guy to gamble on if you want to fill other positions first and then gamble on a young first baseman. We compare him to Hosmer.
Just missed: Albert Pujols (showing too many signs of decline, wasn’t having a great year before his injury We profile him here), Mark Trumbo (looks like this generation’s Adam Dunn), Brandon Moss (a powerful hitter but still a platoon guy) and Kendrys Morales (solid player, but doesn’t have tremendous upside).