Fantasy Baseball 2013: Value of Justin Upton in Boston

Justin Upton

Justin Upton is being shopped right now, and for us fantasy players this can be a nice boost to a guy who should be kept in pretty much all formats and someone that you should not let sneak past round 4.

According to Michael Silverman of the Boston Herald, the Red Sox are a suitor for the Arizona slugger. While this baffles me from a real baseball standpoint, it would be very interesting to see Upton with the Red Sox from a fantasy standpoint. Quite frankly, that’s all that matters, right?

Upton has shown flashes of super-stardom in Arizona. He has also shown his human side every other full year.

Take a look at Upton’s numbers over the last four seasons:

GP

AB

Hits

Runs

HR

RBI

BB

K

SB

AVG

2009

138

526

158

84

26

86

55

137

20

0.300

2010

133

495

135

73

17

69

64

152

18

0.273

2011

159

592

171

105

31

88

59

126

21

0.289

2012

150

554

155

107

17

67

63

121

18

0.280

The hope is that Upton will have one of his up years in 2013, as that is his M.O. Another hope is that he builds on his success. Would a to Beantown help him finish his rise to super-stardom like it did with David Ortiz, who became Big Papi in Boston. Or will he fold under the pressure of New England, like one Carl Crawford?

Upton plays in Arizona currently, where the press isn’t exactly the aggressive paparazzi type. Still, a move to Boston would no longer mean having to deal with Bobby Valentine, which is a plus. Unfortunately a nice piece to the Boston lineup might have to be part of the deal to land Upton, Jacoby Ellsbury. That would make the Boston lineup weaker.

So let’s examine the lineups with Upton, assuming with Boston that Ellsbury would moved.

  1. Adam Eaton
  2. Aaron Hill
  3. Justin Upton
  4. Miguel Montero
  5. Paul Goldschmidt
  6. Jason Kubel
  7. Chris Johnson
  8. Cliff Pennington

Whereas in Boston it would most likely look like:

  1. Daniel Nava
  2. Ryan Sweeney
  3. Dustin Pedroia
  4. Justin Upton
  5. David Ortiz
  6. Will Middlebrooks
  7. Jarrod Saltalamacchia
  8. Jerry Sands
  9. Jose Iglesias

I like Upton hitting cleanup in the Boston lineup WAY more, as he has the potential for guys on base with Pedroia hitting in front of him, and Papi providing protection. However if he struggles and is flipped with Papi, then the runs scored would be hurt.

I am a huge fan of guys getting traded in the off-season, as it tends to have a positive effect on their offensive output! And being that I pegged Upton to be somewhat of a fantasy MVP last season, I do hope he can make me look somewhat smarter this year with a terrific bounce back season.

I would absolutely take a flier on Upton in Boston, as he appears to be falling into rounds 4-5 range according to offseason rankings.

Topics: Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox, Hot Stove, Justin Upton

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